Reaching the $5 Million Club Takes an Open Mind

Create opportunities for yourself by being bold:

One might think that good fortune would play a role, but even luck is largely a matter of one’s own making. Psychologist Richard Wiseman has found that people who describe themselves as lucky share common habits that account for their success: They’re friendly and fond of new experiences, traits that put them on a collision course with new opportunities. In addition, “lucky” folks simply have higher expectations of success — they’re too pigheadedly optimistic to heed the long odds and call it quits.

Start a business, make something people want, and puts lots of work into it:

The vast majority — 80% — either started their own business or worked for a small company that saw explosive growth. And almost all of them made their fortune in a big lump sum after many years of effort.

…rich folks often make their fortunes after they make up their minds to solve a problem or do something better than it’s been done before.

Couldn’t have said it better:

Being rich means freedom: to spend your time as you please, to pursue your real interests and to take a chance without courting utter ruin. Paradoxically, the road to riches often means acting as if you already have that freedom.

Let’s see what else

mibbit – cool, online IRC application – very impressed

10 Tips for Budding Web Programmers – and you’ll note that this link now has a title associaeted with it

How to Get Startup Ideas – I thought this was pretty interesting. He says that if you want to have a great startup idea you should move to the bay area because you’ll have a lot of conversations with a lot of smart people and you’ll stumble upon great ideas by accident. Without geeky conversations, its not impossible, but its more difficult.

Relating to ideas… I found out earlier this week that an idea I had for a startup has already been done. In fact it has been done multiple times and a large portion of the design and functionality that I had planned for it have already been implemented. The one site, which has been up for a few months, has been doing well judging based on the few thousand users they have (which could be a misleading stat). I have mixed feelings: part of me says, “Damn, wish I had started working on it first” and the other says “Hey, it actually is a good idea because someone else is making it work.” The other, more ambitious side of me says “These sites are missing a lot of important functionality. Go get ’em.” I might do that. Or I might not — part of me wants to find a large, untouched market. I want a BIG idea. Unfortunately, wanting is easy; doing is hard.

Two quotes on failure:

“Failure is the opportunity to begin again more intelligently.”

Henry Ford

The greatest mistake you can make in life is to be continually fearing you will make one.

Elbert Hubbard

Also there’s an excellent post on Hacker News titled What has been your biggest mistake? Some of the ones I like are:

“Getting a degree. Honestly, I didn’t need it. Contentious subject I know, but from the Hacker perspective, I have always relied on self learning in concentrated bursts to get me through – want a thorough understanding of TCP/IP? Spend 3 weekends going through the documentation and then playing around. Not 6 months in rigidly structured classes with no leeway for progression above and beyond what is in the curriculum. I could have got a job that paid my pocket money, whilst learning more and coming out with less debt. “but would this have paid off?” I hear everyone say. My degree or time in education has absolutely no standing of where I am now, apart from the fact that I feel I could have been here by early twenties instead of mid twenties”

Jobeyonekenobi

“Spending the first half of my twenties working my guts out for a big corporation where my efforts went largely unnoticed outside of my immediate sphere. I’m certain that if I put that time into a start-up I would be much better off today — even if it failed.”

Cubix

and I laughed at this, which is probably deeper than I currently appreciate:

I’m kinda curious – is there anyone who doesn’t regret their twenties? We’ve got three posts regretting working for the wrong startup (mine, menloparkbum, and gscott), one working for a big company (yours), one going to grad school (timcederman), one getting a degree (jobeyonekenobi), and one doing nothing (johnyzee). So apparently working for a small company is bad, working for a big company is bad, not working is bad, and getting educated is bad. What should one be doing?

nostrademons

Not focusing on ideas that interested me, but rather ones that interested others.

qhoxie

Biggest Regret: Waiting too long.

mybwong

My worst mistakes were in doing what was expected of me, rather than what I wanted to do.

icky

Lastly, I’ve been listening to Randy Pausch’s Last Lecture and I encourage anyone who hasn’t to check it out.

This is taken verbatim from Poor Charlie’s Almanac, a compilation of Charlie Munger’s thoughts and wisdom. I encourage anyone who finds value these words to purchase the book, which is full of excellent pieces like this.

An Investing Principles Checklist

Risk – All investment evaluations should begin by measuring risk, especially reputational

• Incorporate an appropriate margin of safety
• Avoid dealing with people of questionable character
• Insist upon proper compensation for risk assumed
• Always beware of inflation and interest rate exposures
• Avoid big mistakes; shun permanent capital loss

Independence – “Only in fairy tales are emperors told they are naked”

• Objectivity and rationality require independence of thought
• Remember that just because other people agree or disagree with you doesn’t make you right or wrong – the only thing that matters is the correctness of your analysis and judgment
• Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean (merely average performance)

Preparation – “The only way to win is to work, work, work, work, and hope to have a few insights”

• Develop into a lifelong self-learner through voracious readings; cultivate curiosity and strive to become a little wiser every day
• More important than the will to win is the will to prepare
• Develop fluency in mental models from the major academic disciplines
• If you want ot get smart, the question you have to keep asking is “why, why, why?”

Intellectual humility – Acknowledging what you don’t know is the dawning of wisdom

• Stay within a well-defined circle of competence
• Identify and reconcile disconfirming evidence
• Resist the craving for false precision, false certainties, etc.
• Above all, never fool yourself, and remember that you are the easiest person to fool

Analytic rigor – Use of the scientific method and effective checklists minimizes errors and omissions

• Determine value apart from price; progress apart from activity; wealth apart from size
• It is better to remember the obvious than to grasp the esoteric
• Be a business analyst, not a market, macroeconomic, or security analyst
• Consider totality of risk and effect; look always at potential second order and higher level impacts
• Think forward and backwards – Invert, always invert

Allocation – Proper allocation of capital is an investor’s number one job

• Remember that highest and best use is always measured by the next best use (opportunity cost)
• Good ideas are rare – when the odds are greatly in your favor, bet (allocate) heavily
• Don’t “fall in love” with an investment – be situation-dependent an opportunity-driven

Patience – Resist the natural human bias to act

• “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world” (Einstein); never interrupt it unnecessarily
• Avoid unnecessary transactional taxes and frictional costs; never take action for its own sake
• Be alert for the arrival of luck
• Enjoy the process along with the proceeds, because the process is where you live

Decisiveness – When proper circumstances present themselves, act with decisiveness and conviction

• Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful
• Opportunity doesn’t come often, so seize it when it does
• Opportunity meeting the prepared mind: that’s the game

Change – Live with change and accept unremovable complexity

• Recognize and adapt to the true nature of the world around you; don’t expect it to adapt to you
• Continually challenge and willingly amend your “best-loved ideas”
• Recognize reality even when you don’t like it – especially when you don’t like it

Focus – Keep things simple and remember what you set out to do

• Remember that reputation and integrity are your most valuable assets – and can be lost in a heartbeat
• Guard against the effects of hubris and boredom
• Don’t overlook the obvious by drowning in the minutiae
• Be careful to exclude unneeded information or slop: “A small leak can sink a great ship”
• Face your big troubles; don’t sweep them under the rug

Found this particularly inspiring:

It is not the critic who counts: not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles or where the doer of deeds could have done better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood, who strives valiantly, who errs and comes up short again and again, because there is no effort without error or shortcoming, but who knows the great enthusiasms, the great devotions, who spends himself for a worthy cause; who, at the best, knows, in the end, the triumph of high achievement, and who, at the worst, if he fails, at least he fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who knew neither victory nor defeat.

Citizenship in a Republic
Speech at the Sorbonne, Paris, April 23, 1910